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Thursday Night Football: Best Bets (Packers vs Lions)

  1. Luke Musgrave Receptions O3.5 Receptions (DraftKings)

Musgrave has been a pleasant surprise to start the season, as rookie TEs typically fail to produce great numbers. Through 3 games, he has a 16% target share for Green Bay and is coming off a game where he had 6 catches for 49 yards. Detroit has a good defense, but they do allow TEs to produce.
Chiefs TEs had 5 catches for 43 yards in Week 1 (No T. Kelce) Seahawks TEs had 9 catches for 132 yards in Week 2 Falcons TEs had 10 catches for 78 yards in Week 3

  1. Romeo Doubs O39.5 Receiving Yards (FanDuel)

Romeo Doubs is coming off a great game against the Saints, where he saw 12 targets, catching 5 passes for 73 yards. He ran routes on 86% of the Packers passing plays and received a 26% target share. This week, he will matchup against Jerry Jacobs from Detroit, who has had a poor start to the season. DK Metcalf (Week 2) and Justin Watson (Week 1) both had respectable numbers when facing Jacobs. I think the return of C. Watson actually helps Doubs even more, although I would play this regardless of whether or not Watson suits up.

  1. Sam LaPorta O4.5 Receptions (DraftKings)

Sam LaPorta has been the greatest revelation in the league at the TE position this year. He is coming off a monster game where he secured 8 catches for 84 yards and 1 TD. In Week 2, he caught 5 passes for 63 yards. He is consistently running around routes on 80% of the Lions passing plays and has a season target share of 23%. This is expected to be a close game with an O/U set at a respectable 46 points and Green Bay is “middle-of-the-pack” when it comes to defending the TE.

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